edu.ucar.opensky::articles:27322 UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact 2025-12-24T18:47:39.941713 ISO 19115-2 Geographic Information - Metadata - Part 2: Extensions for Imagery and Gridded Data ISO 19115-2:2009(E) https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7nk3k8n https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3553579 https Related Report #1 Summary for policymakers of the global assessment report on biodiversity and ecosystem services Uncertain pathways to a future safe climate 2024-06-01T00:00:00Z publication https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7nk3k8n https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004297 Sherwood, S. C. author Hegerl, G. author Braconnot, P. author Friedlingstein, P. author Goelzer, H. author Harris, N. R. P. author Holland, E. author Kim, H. author Mitchell, M. author Naish, T. author Nobre, P. author Otto-Bliesner, Bette author Reed, K. A. author Renwick, J. author van der Wel, N. P. M. author UCAR/NCAR - Library publisher Global climate change is often thought of as a steady and approximately predictable physical response to increasing forcings, which then requires commensurate adaptation. But adaptation has practical, cultural and biological limits, and climate change may pose unanticipated global hazards, sudden changes or other surprises-as may societal adaptation and mitigation responses. These poorly known factors could substantially affect the urgency of mitigation as well as adaptation decisions. We outline a strategy for better accommodating these challenges by making climate science more integrative, in order to identify and quantify known and novel physical risks including those arising from interactions with ecosystems and society. We need to do this even-or especially-when they are highly uncertain, and to explore risks and opportunities associated with mitigation and adaptation responses by engaging across disciplines. We argue that upcoming climate assessments need to be more risk-aware, and suggest ways of achieving this. These strategies improve the chances of anticipating potential surprises and identifying and communicating "safe landing" pathways that meet UN Sustainable Development Goals and guide humanity toward a better future UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact PDF Text theme Resource Type 2016-01-01T00:00:00Z publication Copyright author(s). This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. None eng geoscientificInformation