Twenty-first century reversal of the surface ozone seasonal cycle over the northeastern United States
Changing emissions can alter the surface Oâ seasonal cycle, as detected from northeastern U.S. (NE) observations during recent decades. Under continued regional precursor emission controls (>80% decreases in NE NOx by 2100), the NE surface Oâ seasonal cycle reverses (to a winter maximum) in 21st century transient chemistry-climate simulations. Over polluted regions, regional NOx largely controls the shape of surface Oâ seasonal cycles. In the absence of regional NOx controls, climate warming contributes to a higher surface Oâ summertime peak over the NE. A doubling of the global CHâ abundance by 2100 partially offsets summertime surface Oâ decreases attained via NOx reductions and contributes to raising surface Oâ during December-March when the Oâ lifetime is longer. The similarity between surface Oâ seasonal cycles over the NE and the Intermountain West by 2100 indicates a NE transition to a region representative of baseline surface Oâ conditions.
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https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7gq6zrf
eng
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2016-01-01T00:00:00Z
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2014-10-28T00:00:00Z
Copyright 2014 American Geophysical Union.
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