edu.ucar.opensky::articles:26772 UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact 2025-12-24T19:01:12.387106 ISO 19115-2 Geographic Information - Metadata - Part 2: Extensions for Imagery and Gridded Data ISO 19115-2:2009(E) https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d77w6gqr https://doi.org/10.7289/v5v40s7w https Related Dataset #1 Sea level measured by tide gauges from global oceans as part of the Joint Archive for Sea Level (JASL) since 1846 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8386988 https Related JournalArticle #1 Skillful multiyear to decadal predictions of sea level in the North Atlantic Ocean and U.S. East Coast Skillful multiyear to decadal predictions of sea level in the North Atlantic Ocean and U.S. East Coast 2023-11-17T00:00:00Z publication https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d77w6gqr https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01093-w Zhang, Liping author Delworth, T. L. author Yang, X. author Zeng, F. author UCAR/NCAR - Library publisher Long-term sea-level rise and multiyear to decadal sea level variations pose substantial risks for flooding and erosion in coastal communities. Here we use observations and climate model predictions to show that sea level variations along the U.S. East Coast are skillfully predictable 3 to 10 years in advance. The most predictable component of sea level is a basin scale upward trend, predictable a decade in advance and primarily a response to increasing greenhouse gases. Significant additional predictability comes from multidecadal variations of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). While perfect model simulations show AMOC-related sea level predictability of 5-7 years, model biases and initialization uncertainties reduce the realized predictive skill to 3-5 years, depending on location. Overall, greenhouse gas warming and predictable AMOC variations lead to multiyear to decadal prediction skill for sea level along the U.S. East Coast. Such skill could have significant societal benefit for planning and adaptation. UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact PDF Text theme Resource Type 2016-01-01T00:00:00Z publication Copyright author(s). This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. None eng geoscientificInformation