edu.ucar.opensky::articles:24281 UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact 2025-12-25T06:33:47.186537 ISO 19115-2 Geographic Information - Metadata - Part 2: Extensions for Imagery and Gridded Data ISO 19115-2:2009(E) https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7r49v5b https://doi.org/10.11582/2017.00006 https Related Dataset #1 NorESM output from 21st century experiments with stochastic volcanic forcing Potential influences of volcanic eruptions on future global land monsoon precipitation changes 2021-03-01T00:00:00Z publication https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7r49v5b https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001803 Man, W. author Zuo, M. author Zhou, T. author Fasullo, John T. author Bethke, I. author Chen, X. author Zou, L. author Wu, B. author UCAR/NCAR - Library publisher The global monsoon system is of exceptional socioeconomic importance owing to its impacts on two-thirds of the globe's population. Major volcanic eruptions strongly influence global land monsoon (GLM) precipitation change. By using 60 plausible eruption scenarios sampled from reconstructed volcanic proxies over the past 2,500 years, 21st century volcanic influences on GLM precipitation projections are examined with an Earth system model under a moderate emission scenario. The decadal-scale ensemble spread with realistic eruptions (VOLC) increases by 17.5% and 20.1% compared to no-volcanic (NO-VOLC) and constant background-volcanic (VOLC-CONST) scenarios, respectively. Compared with NO-VOLC, the centennial mean VOLC GLM precipitation shows a 10% overall reduction and regionally, Asia is the most impacted. Changes in atmospheric circulation in the aftermath of large volcanic eruptions match the global warming response patterns well with opposite sign, with the North American monsoon precipitation enhanced following large volcanic eruptions, which is in sharp contrast to the robust decrease in Asian monsoon rainfall. Volcanic activity could delay the time of emergence of anthropogenic influence by five years on average over about 60% of the GLM area. Our results demonstrate the importance of statistical representation of potential volcanism for the projections of future monsoon variability. Quantifying volcanic impacts on regional climate projections and their socioeconomic influences on infrastructure planning, food security, and disaster management should be a priority of future work. UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact PDF Text theme Resource Type 2016-01-01T00:00:00Z publication Copyright author(s). This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. None eng geoscientificInformation