edu.ucar.opensky::articles:44193 UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact 2025-12-24T17:47:42.039570 ISO 19115-2 Geographic Information - Metadata - Part 2: Extensions for Imagery and Gridded Data ISO 19115-2:2009(E) https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d73t9nn4 https://doi.org/10.15468/dl.SZSXBn https Related Dataset #1 Occurrence Download https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10214924 https Related Software #1 JamiePringle/EZfate: v1.1 updated to include python software and some documentation https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11048449 https Related Software #2 JamiePringle/EZfate: Now get data from ONS Anthropogenic climate change will likely outpace coral range expansion 2025-06-06T00:00:00Z publication https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d73t9nn4 https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adr2545 Vogt-Vincent, Noam S. author Pringle, J. M. author Cornwall, C. E. author McManus, L. C. author UCAR/NCAR - Library publisher Past coral range expansions suggest that high-latitude environments may serve as refugia, potentially buffering coral biodiversity loss due to climate change. We explore this possibility for corals globally, using a dynamic metacommunity model incorporating temperature, photosynthetically available radiation, pH, and four distinct, interacting coral assemblages. This model reasonably reproduces the observed distribution and recent decline of corals across the Indo-Pacific and Caribbean. Our simulations suggest that there is a mismatch between the timescales of coral reef decline and range expansion under future predicted climate change. Whereas the most severe declines in coral cover will likely occur within 40 to 80 years, large-scale coral reef expansion requires centuries. The absence of large-scale coral refugia in the face of rapid anthropogenic climate change emphasizes the urgent need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate nonthermal stressors for corals, both in the tropics and in higher latitudes. UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact PDF Text theme Resource Type 2016-01-01T00:00:00Z publication <style type="text/css"></style><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;font-style:normal;" data-sheets-root="1">Copyright author(s). This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.</span> None eng geoscientificInformation