edu.ucar.opensky::articles:12672 UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact 2025-12-26T03:46:01.136462 ISO 19115-2 Geographic Information - Metadata - Part 2: Extensions for Imagery and Gridded Data ISO 19115-2:2009(E) https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7nv9k20 The role of negative CO₂ emissions for reaching 2°C -- insights from integrated assessment modelling 2013-05-01T00:00:00Z publication https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7nv9k20 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0680-5 Van Vuuren, D. author Deetman, S. author van Vliet, J. author ven den Berg, M. author van Ruijven, Bastiaan J. author Koelbl, B. author UCAR/NCAR - Library publisher Limiting climate change to 2°C with a high probability requires reducing cumulative emissions to about 1600 GtCO₂ over the 2000-2100 period. This requires unprecedented rates of decarbonization even in the short-run. The availability of the option of net negative emissions, such as bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) or reforestation/afforestation, allows to delay some of these emission reductions. In the paper, we assess the demand and potential for negative emissions in particular from BECCS. Both stylized calculations and model runs show that without the possibility of negative emissions, pathways meeting the 2°C target with high probability need almost immediate emission reductions or simply become infeasible. The potential for negative emissions is uncertain. We show that negative emissions from BECCS are probably limited to around 0 to 10 GtCO₂/year in 2050 and 0 to 20 GtCO₂/year in 2100. Estimates on the potential of afforestation options are in the order of 0-4 GtCO₂/year. Given the importance and the uncertainty concerning BECCS, we stress the importance of near-term assessments of its availability as today's decisions has important consequences for climate change mitigation in the long run. UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact PDF Text theme Resource Type 2016-01-01T00:00:00Z publication Copyright 2013 Springer Netherlands. None eng geoscientificInformation