Identification

Title

Closing the gap-hurricane prediction advances in the U.S. FV3-based models

Abstract

The Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) developed by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has been regarded as the best guidance for hurricane track forecasts for years. However, the performance of U.S. models on hurricane forecasts has been catching up. Since 2019, various Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere Dynamical Core (FV3)-based models, including the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) operational Global Forecast System (GFS), newly operational Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS), and research-oriented Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) System for High-resolution prediction on Earth-to-Local Domains (SHiELD), have consistently demonstrated improved hurricane forecasts in the North Atlantic basin, relative to the previous generation of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) operational and research models. This article presents the progress that has been made and identifies areas for improvement for U.S. model development on hurricane forecasts.

Resource type

document

Resource locator

Unique resource identifier

code

https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7445rxv

codeSpace

Dataset language

eng

Spatial reference system

code identifying the spatial reference system

Classification of spatial data and services

Topic category

geoscientificInformation

Keywords

Keyword set

keyword value

Text

originating controlled vocabulary

title

Resource Type

reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2016-01-01T00:00:00Z

Geographic location

West bounding longitude

East bounding longitude

North bounding latitude

South bounding latitude

Temporal reference

Temporal extent

Begin position

End position

Dataset reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2025-07-01T00:00:00Z

Frequency of update

Quality and validity

Lineage

Conformity

Data format

name of format

version of format

Constraints related to access and use

Constraint set

Use constraints

Limitations on public access

None

Responsible organisations

Responsible party

contact position

OpenSky Support

organisation name

UCAR/NCAR - Library

full postal address

PO Box 3000

Boulder

80307-3000

email address

opensky@ucar.edu

web address

http://opensky.ucar.edu/

name: homepage

responsible party role

pointOfContact

Metadata on metadata

Metadata point of contact