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A method for probability matching based on the ensemble maximum for...
A probability matching (PM) product using the ensemble maximum (EnMax) as the basis for spatial reassignment was developed. This PM product was called the PM max and its...- publication PDF
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On the importance of representing snow over sea-ice for simulating the...
Correctly representing the snow on sea-ice has great potential to improve cryosphere-atmosphere coupling in forecasting and monitoring (e.g., reanalysis) applications, via...- publication PDF
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Interannual and seasonal drivers of carbon cycle variability represented by...
Earth system models are intended to make long-term projections, but they can be evaluated at interannual and seasonal time scales. Although the Community Earth System Model...- publication PDF
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Africa's climate response to solar radiation management with stratospheric aerosol
Anthropogenic warming is projected to increase the magnitude and frequency of extreme events, whose impacts are already being felt in vulnerable regions in sub-Saharan Africa....- publication PDF
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Model structure and climate data uncertainty in historical simulations of...
The divergence among Earth system models in the terrestrial carbon cycle has prompted interest in how to reduce uncertainty. Previous studies have identified model structural...- publication PDF
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Assessing the representation of the Australian carbon cycle in global...
Australia plays an important role in the global terrestrial carbon cycle on inter-annual timescales. While the Australian continent is included in global assessments of the...- publication PDF
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Solar cycle response of CO2 over the austral winter mesosphere and lower...
This work uses Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry CO2 data from 2002 to 2015 and Specified Dynamics-Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (SD-...- publication PDF
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Precipitation formation in wintertime orographic clouds. Part I:...
Cloud seeding of wintertime orographic clouds in the western United States has been attempted to enhance snow production and snowpack. Due to the scarcity of long-term, high-...- publication PDF
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Coupled atmosphere-mixed layer ocean response to ocean heat flux convergence...
The winter response of the coupled atmosphereâ ocean mixed layer system to anomalous geostrophic ocean heat flux convergence in the Kuroshio Extension is investigated by means...- publication PDF
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Water vapor-forced greenhouse warming over the Sahara Desert and the recent...
The Sahel region of West Africa experiences decadal swings between periods of drought and abundant rainfall, and a large body of work asserts that these variations in the West...- publication PDF
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California case study of wildfires and prescribed burns: PM 2.5 emissions,...
Wildfires are a significant threat to human health, in part through degraded air quality. Prescribed burning can reduce wildfire severity but can also lead to an increase in air...- publication PDF
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Assessing CESM2 clouds and their response to climate change using cloud regimes
The Community Earth System Model, version 2 (CESM2), has a very high climate sensitivity driven by strong positive cloud feedbacks. To evaluate the simulated clouds in the...- publication PDF
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The Benguela upwelling system: Quantifying the sensitivity to resolution and...
Of all the major coastal upwelling systems in the world's oceans, the Benguela, located off southwest Africa, is the one that climate models find hardest to simulate well. This...- publication PDF
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The 2023 extreme coastal El Niño: Atmospheric and air-sea coupling mechanisms
In the boreal spring of 2023, an extreme coastal El Nino struck the coastal regions of Peru and Ecuador, causing devastating rainfalls, flooding, and record dengue outbreaks....- publication PDF
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Untangling the broadening of adiabatic cloud droplet spectra through eddy...
Turbulence has long been considered an important source of droplet spectral broadening in adiabatic volumes of warm convective clouds. The key idea is that, in a turbulent...- publication PDF
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Advancing interdisciplinary and convergent science for communities: Lessons...
The authors introduce the National Center for Atmospheric Research's Early-Career Faculty Innovator Program and present lessons learned about advancing interdisciplinary and...- publication PDF
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Impacts of ice particle shape and density evolution on the distribution of...
An IMPROVE-2 orographic precipitation case is simulated using the Ice-Spheroids Habit Model with Aspect-Ratio Evolution (ISHMAEL) microphysics. In ISHMAEL, the evolution of ice...- publication PDF
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The DOE E3SM Coupled Model Version 1: Description and results at high resolution
This study provides an overview of the coupled high-resolution Version 1 of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1) and documents the characteristics of a 50-year-long...- publication PDF
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Daily spatiotemporal precipitation simulation using latent and transformed...
A daily stochastic spatiotemporal precipitation generator that yields spatially consistent gridded quantitative precipitation realizations is described. The methodology relies...- publication PDF
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Biodiversity matters in feedbacks between climate change and air quality: A...
Air quality is closely associated with climate change via the biosphere because plants release large quantities of volatile organic compounds (VOC) that mediate both gaseous...- publication PDF