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Mesoscale variability linked to interannual displacement of gulf stream
The impacts of interannual oscillations of the Gulf Stream (GS) on oceanic mesoscale variability are investigated using satellite observations of sea surface height (SSH) and...- publication PDF
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Evaluating the accuracy of climate change pattern emulation for low warming targets
Global climate policy is increasingly debating the value of very low warming targets, yet not many experiments conducted with global climate models in their fully coupled...- publication PDF
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Differences, or lack thereof, in wheat and maize yields under three...
The availability of climate model experiments under three alternative scenarios stabilizing at warming targets inspired by the COP21 agreements (a 1.5 degrees C not exceed, a...- publication PDF
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The role of ice-ocean interactions in the variability of the North Atlantic...
The simulated influence of Arctic sea ice on the variability of the North Atlantic climate is discussed in the context of a global coupled iceâoceanâatmosphere model. This...- publication PDF
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Description and evaluation of tropospheric chemistry and aerosols in the...
The Community Atmosphere Model (CAM), version 5, is now coupled to extensive tropospheric and stratospheric chemistry, called CAM5-chem, and is available in addition to...- publication PDF
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The circulation response of a two-dimensional frontogenetic model to...
An analysis of the influence and sensitivity of moisture in an idealized two-dimensional moist semigeostrophic frontogenesis model is presented. A comparison between a dry...- publication PDF
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Random force perturbations: A new extension of the cell perturbation method...
Coupling between mesoscale and large eddy simulation (LES) is critically important for many atmospheric model applications, from predictions of wind energy to fire propagation....- publication PDF
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Design and results of the ice sheet model initialisation experiments...
Earlier large-scale Greenland ice sheet sea-level projections (e.g. those run during the ice2sea and SeaRISE initiatives) have shown that ice sheet initial conditions have a...- publication PDF
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Evaluation of leading modes of climate variability in the CMIP archives
The adequate simulation of internal climate variability is key for our understanding of climate as it underpins efforts to attribute historical events, predict on seasonal and...- publication PDF
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Electron acceleration and radio emission following the early interaction of...
Context. Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large eruptions of magnetised plasma from the Sun that are often accompanied by solar radio bursts produced by accelerated...- publication PDF
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Improving probabilistic weather forecasts for decision making: A...
This Technical Note presents methods and findings from a study of winter weather decision making at a major U.S. airport and associated strategies for improving the generation...- publication PDF
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Seasonal predictability of baroclinic wave activity
Midlatitude baroclinic waves drive extratropical weather and climate variations, but their predictability beyond 2 weeks has been deemed low. Here we analyze a large ensemble of...- publication PDF
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Decomposing cloud radiative feedbacks by cloud-top phase
Changes in cloud scattering properties and emissivity that arise from atmospheric warming cause substantial radiative feedbacks in model projections of anthropogenic climate...- publication PDF
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Long-range transport impacts on surface aerosol concentrations and the...
Haze has been severely affecting the densely populated areas in China recently. While many of the efforts have been devoted to investigating the impact of local anthropogenic...- publication PDF
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The consequences of surface-exchange coefficient uncertainty on an otherwise...
In addition to initial conditions, uncertainty in model physics can also influence the practical predictability of tropical cyclones. In this study, the influence that various...- publication PDF
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Future changes in daily summer temperature variability: Driving processes...
Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions are expected to lead to more frequent and intense summer temperature extremes, not only due to the mean warming itself, but also due to...- publication PDF
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The Fire Inventory from NCAR version 2.5: An updated global fire emissions...
We present the Fire Inventory from National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) version 2.5 (FINNv2.5), a fire emissions inventory that provides publicly available emissions...- publication PDF
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Pyrocumulonimbus affect average stratospheric aerosol composition
Pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) are wildfire-generated convective clouds that can inject smoke directly into the stratosphere. PyroCb have been tracked for years, yet their apparent...- publication PDF
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Characterizing summertime chemical boundary conditions for airmasses...
The objective of this study is to analyze the pollution inflow into California during summertime and how it impacts surface air quality through combined analysis of a suite of...- publication PDF
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A statistical study of magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling in the...
The statistics of magnetosphere - ionosphere (MI) coupling derived from a two-month long run of the Lyon - Fedder - Mobarry (LFM) global simulation model are investigated. MI...- publication PDF