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An experiment on risk-based decision-making in water management using...
The use of probabilistic forecasts is necessary to take into account uncertainties and allow for optimal risk-based decisions in streamflow forecasting at monthly to seasonal...- publication PDF
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Verify - the MM4 Verification Processor
The purpose of this technical note is to describe and demonstrate the capabilities of a processor (VERIFY) developed to verify objectively forecasts generated by the PSU/NCAR...- publication PDF
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Characterization of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in Asian and north...
We present results from the Intercontinental Chemical Transport Experiment - Phase B (INTEX-B) aircraft mission conducted in spring 2006. By analyzing the mixing ratios of...- publication PDF
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Stratospheric impact of the Chisholm pyrocumulonimbus eruption: 2. Vertical...
Extreme pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) blowups that pollute the stratosphere have been documented on at least five occasions. However, the frequency of these events is still...- publication PDF
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An airborne profiling radar study of the impact of glaciogenic cloud seeding...
Data from an airborne vertically pointing millimeter-wave Doppler radar are used to study the cloud microphysical effect of glaciogenic seeding of cold-season orographic clouds....- publication PDF
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Prediction of energy dissipation rates for aviation turbulence. Part I:...
Current automated aviation turbulence forecast algorithms diagnose turbulence from numerical weather prediction (NWP) model output by identifying large values in computed...- publication PDF
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Simulating the biogeochemical and biogeophysical impacts of transient land...
To assess the climate impacts of historical and projected land cover change in the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4), new time series of transient Community Land...- publication PDF
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Arctic Freshwater Synthesis: Summary of key emerging issues
In response to a joint request from the World Climate Research Program's Climate and Cryosphere Project, the International Arctic Science Committee, and the Arctic Council's...- publication PDF
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Decadal prediction centers prepare for a major volcanic eruption
The World Meteorological Organization’s Lead Centre for Annual-to-Decadal Climate Prediction issues operational forecasts annually as guidance for regional climate...- publication PDF
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Mechanisms controlling mixed-layer temperature variability in the eastern...
The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a prominent mode of intraseasonal (~35-95 day) variability in the tropical Indian and western Pacific Oceans. Its impacts on ocean mixed-...- publication PDF
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The regional hydroclimate response to stratospheric sulfate geoengineering...
Geoengineering methods could potentially offset aspects of greenhouse gas-driven climate change. However, before embarking on any such strategy, a comprehensive understanding of...- publication PDF
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NSF NCAR Earth System Science and Technology Hubs (NESTs) Phase I Report
Over the past three years, the U.S. National Science Foundation National Center for Atmospheric Research (NSF NCAR) has been exploring the concept of NSF NCAR Earth System...- publication PDF
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Impact of tropical cyclone landfall angle on storm surge along the Mid-Atlantic Bight
Storm surge impact depends on coastal geographical and bathymetric features as well as various tropical cyclone characteristics including the size, intensity, and impact angle...- publication PDF
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Mesospheric concentric gravity waves generated by multiple convective storms...
We report on six continuous hours of OH airglow imager observations (at z â¼ 87 km) of convectively generated gravity waves (GWs) near Fort Collins, Colorado, on the evening of...- publication PDF
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Characterizing climate change from heating, not merely temperature
Current human-induced climate change arises primarily from the heating of the planet mainly from changes in atmospheric composition, and temperature change is one manifestation....- publication PDF
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Quantifying uncertainty in source term estimation with tensorflow probability
Fast and accurate location and quantification of a dangerous chemical, biological or radiological release plays a significant role in evaluating emergency situations and their...- publication PDF
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Hydroclimate and ENSO variability recorded by oxygen isotopes from tree...
Hydroclimate variability in tropical South America is strongly regulated by the South American Summer Monsoon (SASM). However, past precipitation changes are poorly constrained...- publication PDF
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Solar dynamics, rotation, convection and overshoot
We discuss recent observational, theoretical and modeling progress made in understanding the Sun's internal dynamics, including its rotation, meridional flow, convection and...- publication PDF
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An evaluation of analog-based postprocessing methods across several...
Recently, two analog-based postprocessing methods were demonstrated to reduce the systematic and random errors from Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model predictions of...- publication PDF
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An educational deployment of the NCAR Mobile Integrated Sounding System
The best way to train the next wave of observational talent is through direct experience. In 2012 and again in 2014, students at St. Cloud State University (SCSU) welcomed...- publication PDF