Subtropical marine cloud brightening suppresses the El Niño-Southern Oscillation

Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) and marine cloud brightening (MCB) are two proposed methods of compensating for greenhouse gas‐induced warming by reflecting incoming solar radiation. However, their effects on the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a critical mode of climate variability, are poorly understood. Here we use ensembles of climate model simulations to show that deploying MCB in the subtropical eastern Pacific dramatically reduces ENSO amplitude by approximately 61%, while SAI has a negligible impact. MCB increases cloud albedo, which cools the subtropical eastern Pacific and triggers a loss of moist static energy. This cooling promotes atmospheric subsidence, dries the tropical Pacific, and intensifies the trade winds. The ultimate effect is a dramatic reduction in all air‐sea feedback processes operating during ENSO, which we demonstrate using a mixed‐layer heat budget. This contrast between the MCB and SAI impacts on ENSO shows that the choice of climate intervention strategy used to mitigate global warming has drastic regional implications.

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Related Preprint #1 : Targeted marine cloud brightening can dampen El Niño

Related Software #1 : Model output and source code of marine cloud brightening simulated by CESM2 under SSP2-4.5 with various cloud seeding strategies.

Related Software #2 : chenxxxing/MCB-ENSO: Codes for "Subtropical Marine Cloud Brightening Suppresses The El Niño–Southern Oscillation"

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Author Xing, C.
Stevenson, S.
Fasullo, John T. ORCID icon
Harrison, C. S.
Chen, C.
Wan, J.
Coupe, J.
Pfleger, C.
Publisher UCAR/NCAR - Library
Publication Date 2025-08-01T00:00:00
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) Not Assigned
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Topic Category geoscientificInformation
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Metadata Date 2025-12-24T17:44:01.497233
Metadata Record Identifier edu.ucar.opensky::articles:44041
Metadata Language eng; USA
Suggested Citation Xing, C., Stevenson, S., Fasullo, John T., Harrison, C. S., Chen, C., Wan, J., Coupe, J., Pfleger, C.. (2025). Subtropical marine cloud brightening suppresses the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. UCAR/NCAR - Library. https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d76q22ps. Accessed 05 February 2026.

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