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Atmospheric blocking and other large-scale precursor patterns of landfalling...
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) manifest as transient filaments of intense water vapor transport that contribute to synoptic-scale extremes and interannual variability of...- publication PDF
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Understanding the factors controlling MJO prediction skill across events
The prediction skill for individual Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) events is highly variable, but the key factors behind this remain unclear. Using the latest hindcast...- publication PDF
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Large-eddy simulation of the daytime boundary layer in an idealized valley...
A three-dimensional numerical meteorological model is used to perform large-eddy simulations of the upslope flow circulation over a periodic ridge-valley terrain. The subgrid-...- publication PDF
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Air quality forecasting for winter-time PM2.5 episodes occurring in multiple...
Episodic air quality degradation due to particles occurs in multiple cities in central and southern Chile during the austral winter reaching levels up to 300-800âµg/m3 hourly...- publication PDF
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Tree species effects on ecosystem water-use efficiency in a high-elevation,...
Ecosystem water-use efficiency (eWUE; the ratio of net ecosystem productivity to evapotranspiration rate) is a complex landscape-scale parameter controlled by both physical and...- publication PDF
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Oscillatory behavior of two nonlinear microbial models of soil carbon decomposition
A number of nonlinear models have recently been proposed for simulating soil carbon decomposition. Their predictions of soil carbon responses to fresh litter input and warming...- publication PDF
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A new approach to testing forecast predictive accuracy
The Diebold-Mariano test for predictive accuracy has been used widely and adapted for economic forecasts, but has not seen much activity in weather forecast verification. The...- publication PDF
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New generation of climate models track recent unprecedented changes in...
We compare top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiative fluxes observed by the Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) and simulated by seven general circulation models forced...- publication PDF
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Investigating wind turbine impacts on near-wake flow using profiling lidar...
Wind turbine impacts on the atmospheric flow are investigated using data from the Crop Wind Energy Experiment (CWEX-11) and large-eddy simulations (LESs) utilizing a generalized...- publication PDF
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Can fully accounting for clouds in data assimilation improve short-term...
This paper explores the degree to which short-term forecasts with global models might be improved if clouds were fully included in a data assimilation system, so that...- publication PDF
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Global premature mortality due to anthropogenic outdoor air pollution and...
Increased concentrations of ozone and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) since preindustrial times reflect increased emissions, but also contributions of past climate change. Here...- publication PDF
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Evaluation of multiple satellite, reanalysis, and merged precipitation...
Satellite and reanalysis precipitation estimates of high quality are widely used for hydrological modeling, especially in ungauged or data-scarce regions. To improve flood...- publication PDF
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A comparison of PMIP2 model simulations and the MARGO proxy reconstruction...
Results from multiple model simulations are used to understand the tropical sea surface temperature (SST) response to the reduced greenhouse gas concentrations and large...- publication PDF
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Reducing uncertainty in projections of terrestrial carbon uptake
Carbon uptake by the oceans and terrestrial biosphere regulates atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration and affects Earth's climate, yet global carbon cycle projections over...- publication PDF
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Sensitivity of spring phenology to warming across temporal and spatial...
Disparate ecological datasets are often organized into databases post hoc and then analyzed and interpreted in ways that may diverge from the purposes of the original data...- publication PDF
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On the parameter dependence of the whistler anisotropy instability
The evolution of the whistler anisotropy instability relevant to whistler-mode chorus waves in the Earth's inner magnetosphere is studied using kinetic simulations and is...- publication PDF
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COSMIC GPS radio occultation temperature profiles in clouds
Thermodynamic states in clouds are closely related to physical processes such as phase changes of water and longwave and shortwave radiation. Global Positioning System (GPS)...- publication PDF
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Updated tropospheric chemistry reanalysis and emission estimates, TCR-2, for...
This study presents the results from the Tropospheric Chemistry Reanalysis version 2 (TCR-2) for the period 2005-2018 at 1.1 degrees horizontal resolution obtained from the...- publication PDF
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Extended-range probabilistic forecasts of Ganges and Brahmaputra floods in Bangladesh
A new ensemble prediction scheme was developed for probabilistic flood forecasting in Bangladesh. Skill is found to 10-15 days. In 2007-8 it was used to evacuate people along...- publication PDF
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The GFDL Global Ocean and Sea Ice Model OM4.0: Model description and...
We document the configuration and emergent simulation features from the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) OM4.0 ocean/sea ice model. OM4 serves as the ocean/sea ice...- publication PDF