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The Positive North Atlantic Oscillation with downstream blocking and Middle...
A recent study revealed that cold winter outbreaks over the Middle East and southeastern Europe are caused mainly by the northeast-southwest (NE-SW) tilting of European blocking...- publication PDF
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A sensitivity study of high-resolution regional climate simulations to three...
The Weather Research Forecasting model is applied for convection-permitting regional climate simulations over the western United States using three different land surface...- publication PDF
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An improved inversion for FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC ionosphere electron density profiles
An improved method to retrieve electron density profiles from Global Positioning System (GPS) radio occultation (RO) data is presented and applied to Constellation Observing...- publication PDF
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Comparisons of empirical localization techniques for serial ensemble Kalman...
Two techniques for estimating good localization functions for serial ensemble Kalman filters are compared in observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs) conducted with the...- publication PDF
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Progress in turbulence detection via GNSS occultation data
The increased availability of radio occultation (RO) data offers the ability to detect and study turbulence in the Earth's atmosphere. An analysis of how RO data can be used to...- publication PDF
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Tropical cyclone initialization and prediction based on four-dimensional...
Issues on the initialization and simulation of tropical cyclones (TCs) have been studied here based on four-dimensional variational data assimilation. In particular, experiments...- publication PDF
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The relative importance of geoeffective length versus Alfvén wing formation...
We compare the relative importance of two competing mechanisms (Alfven wing vs. magnetosheath force balance) in determining the saturation of the reverse convection potential...- publication PDF
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Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: A...
A Bayesian statistical model is proposed that combines information from a multimodel ensemble of atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) and observations to...- publication PDF
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Cradles of diversity are unlikely relics of regional climate stability
The stability of regional climates on millennial timescales is theorised to be a primary determinant of nearby diversification 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. Using simulated patterns of past...- publication PDF
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The role of subtropical irreversible PV mixing in the zonal mean circulation...
The atmospheric circulation response to the global warming-like tropical upper tropospheric heating is revisited using a dry atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) in...- publication PDF
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Accelerated Arctic land warming and permafrost degradation during rapid sea ice loss
Coupled climate models and recent observational evidence suggest that Arctic sea ice may undergo abrupt periods of loss during the next fifty years. Here, we evaluate how rapid...- publication PDF
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Mapping (dis)agreement in hydrologic projections
Hydrologic projections are of vital socioeconomic importance. However, they are also prone to uncertainty. In order to establish a meaningful range of storylines to support...- publication PDF
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Climatology of velocity and temperature turbulence statistics determined...
The climatology of the spatial structure functions of velocity and temperature for various altitudes (pressure levels) and latitude bands is constructed from the global...- publication PDF
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Improving perceptual and conceptual hydrological models using data from small basins
This paper demonstrates how data from a small experimental basin can be used to evaluate possible structures for a lumped hydrological model. Data collected at the Mahurangi...- publication PDF
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Performance of 2020 real-time Atlantic hurricane forecasts from...
The global-nested Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS-globalnest) is one piece of NOAA's Unified Forecast System (UFS) application for hurricanes. In this study,...- publication PDF
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Inter-model comparison of global hydroxyl radical (OH) distributions and...
The modeling study presented here aims to estimate how uncertainties in global hydroxyl radical (OH) distributions, variability, and trends may contribute to resolving...- publication PDF
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Effects of EMIC wave-driven proton precipitation on the ionosphere
We investigate the proton precipitation caused by electromagnetic ion cyclotron (EMIC) waves and its impact on the ionosphere with the self-consistent ring current-atmosphere...- publication PDF
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Reducing representativeness and sampling errors in radio...
Radio occultation (RO) and radiosonde (RS) comparisons provide a means of analyzing errors associated with both observational systems. Since RO and RS observations are not taken...- publication PDF
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Estimating impacts of North Atlantic tropical cyclones using an index of...
An index of North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) damage potential due to winds and coastal surge is developed using seasonal climate variables of relative sea surface...- publication PDF
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An evaluation of the representation of tropical tropopause cirrus in the...
Observations from the third campaign of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Airborne Tropical Tropopause Experiment (ATTREX 3) field mission and Cloud-Aerosol...- publication PDF