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The tangent-linear and adjoint models of the NEPTUNE dynamical core
An approximate tangent-linear model and its adjoint have been developed for the dynamical core of the NEPTUNE model (Navy Environmental Prediction sysTem Utilizing a...- publication PDF
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Understanding the global variability in thermospheric nitric oxide flux...
We present the first-ever global assessment of thermospheric nitric oxide infrared radiative flux (NOF) variability. NOF (W/m(2)) from 100-to 250-km altitude is extracted from...- publication PDF
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Comparing simulated PSC optical properties with CALIPSO observations during...
We simulate polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) during the Antarctic winter of 2010 using the Specified Dynamics version of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model/Community...- publication PDF
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Regime-dependent short-range solar irradiance forecasting
This paper describes the development and testing of a cloud-regime-dependent short-range solar irradiance forecasting system for predictions of 15-min-average clearness index...- publication PDF
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Are multiseasonal forecasts of atmospheric rivers possible?
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) exert significant socioeconomic impacts in western North America, where 30% of the annual precipitation is determined by ARs that occur in less than 15%...- publication PDF
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The impact of GPS RO data on the prediction of tropical cyclogenesis using a...
In this study, the impact of global positioning system (GPS) radio occultation (RO) data on the prediction of the genesis of 10 tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific...- publication PDF
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Parameterization and surface data improvements and new capabilities for the...
The Community Land Model Urban (CLMU) is an urban parameterization developed to simulate urban climate within a global Earth System Model framework. This paper describes and...- publication PDF
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Aircraft measurements of gravity waves in the upper troposphere and lower...
This study analyzes in situ airborne measurements from the 2008 Stratosphere-Troposphere Analyses of Regional Transport (START08) experiment to characterize gravity waves in the...- publication PDF
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Convective injection into stratospheric intrusions
Stratospheric intrusions (tropopause folds) are known to be major contributors to stratosphere-troposphere exchange. The specific mixing processes that lead to irreversible...- publication PDF
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Uniformly rotating global radiative-convective equilibrium in the Community...
A standard atmospheric general circulation model is run in a uniformly rotating global radiative-convective equilibrium configuration to explore the equilibrium state, including...- publication PDF
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Bootstrap methods for statistical inference. Part I: Comparative forecast...
When making statistical inferences, bootstrap resampling methods are often appealing because of less stringent assumptions about the distribution of the statistic(s) of...- publication PDF
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Reducing the negative human-health impacts of bioenergy crop emissions...
An expected global increase in bioenergy-crop cultivation as an alternative to fossil fuels will have consequences on both global climate and local air quality through changes...- publication PDF
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Observations of the width of cloud droplet spectra in stratocumulus
This paper discusses in-situ aircraft observations of cloud microphysics in eight cases of marine stratocumulus investigated during the Second Aerosol Characterization...- publication PDF
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Thermal Convection: A Colloquium, Sponsored by the NCAR Advanced Study...
This document is part one of three which report the results of a six-week colloquium on problems of thermal convection held during the summer of 1966. The colloquium covered a...- publication PDF
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An investigation of the connections among convection, clouds, and climate...
This study explores connections between process-level modeling of convection and global climate model (GCM) simulated clouds and cloud feedback to global warming through a set...- publication PDF
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Explicit prediction of continental convection in a skillful...
We present a new global-to-regional model, cfvGFS, able to explicitly (without parameterization) represent convection over part of the Earth. This model couples the Geophysical...- publication PDF
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Probabilistic 0-1-h convective initiation nowcasts that combine...
The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES)-R convective initiation (CI) algorithm predicts CI in real time over the next 0-60 min. While GOES-R CI has been...- publication PDF
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Sulfate geoengineering impact on methane transport and lifetime: results...
Sulfate geoengineering (SG), made by sustained injection of SO2 in the tropical lower stratosphere, may impact the CH4 abundance through several photochemical mechanisms...- publication PDF
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Essential oil content of Rhododendron tomentosum responds strongly to...
The essential oils of the widely distributed boreal/Arctic dwarf shrub, Rhododendron tomentosum ssp. subarcticum (Harmaja) G.D. Wallace, have important ecological, cultural,...- publication PDF
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Investigation of ensemble variance as a measure of true forecast variance
The uncertainty in meteorological predictions is of interest for applications ranging from economic to recreational to public safety. One common method to estimate uncertainty...- publication PDF
