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A shorter, sharper rainy season amplifies California wildfire risk
California has experienced increasingly severe autumn wildfires over the past several decades, which have exacted a rising human and environmental toll. Recent fire and climate...- publication PDF
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Mixed-precision for linear solvers in global geophysical flows
Semi-implicit (SI) time-stepping schemes for atmosphere and ocean models require elliptic solvers that work efficiently on modern supercomputers. This paper reports our study of...- publication PDF
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21st Century drought-related fires counteract the decline of Amazon...
Tropical carbon emissions are largely derived from direct forest clearing processes. Yet, emissions from drought-induced forest fires are, usually, not included in national-...- publication PDF
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Cooperation on climate change under economic linkages: How the inclusion of...
Game-theoretic models of international cooperation on climate change come to very different results regarding the stability of the grand coalition of all countries, depending on...- publication PDF
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GEOS-S2S Version 2: The GMAO high-resolution coupled model and assimilation...
The Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) has recently released a new version of the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) Subseasonal to Seasonal prediction (S2S)...- publication PDF
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Scientific documentation of the NCEP nonhydrostatic multiscale model on the...
This technical note focuses on the scientific and algorithmic approaches in the NMMB dynamics. Discussed are the NMMB dynamics solver, boundary conditions and the horizontal...- publication PDF
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Learning and climate change: An introduction and overview
This article does not have an abstract or article summary.- publication PDF
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Characterization of momentum transport associated with organized moist...
Tropical convection is inherently multiscalar, involving complex fields of clouds and various regimes of convective organization ranging from small disorganized cumulus up to...- publication PDF
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Effects of surface exchange coefficients and turbulence length scales on the...
Using numerical simulations, this study examines the sensitivity of hurricane intensity and structure to changes in the surface exchange coefficients and to changes in the...- publication PDF
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Decadal change and inter-annual variability of net primary productivity on...
Net primary productivity (NPP) is an important indicator of plant dynamics and the net carbon exchange between the terrestrial ecosystem and atmosphere. Both the long-term...- publication PDF
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The hydrological cycle and ocean circulation of the Maritime Continent in...
The Maritime Continent (MC) forms the western boundary of the tropical Pacific Ocean, and relatively small changes in this region can impact the climate locally and remotely. In...- publication PDF
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A comparison of Arctic BrO measurements by chemical ionization mass...
A measurement intensive was carried out in Barrow, Alaska, in spring 2009 as part of the Ocean-Atmosphere-Sea-IceâSnowpack (OASIS) program. The central focus of this campaign...- publication PDF
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NOAA's second-generation global medium-range ensemble reforecast dataset
A multidecadal ensemble reforecast database is now available that is approximately consistent with the operational 0000 UTC cycle of the 2012 NOAA Global Ensemble Forecast...- publication PDF
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Hybrid 4DVAR with a local ensemble tangent linear model: Application to the...
An ensemble-based tangent linear model (TLM) is described and tested in data assimilation experiments using a global shallow-water model (SWM). A hybrid variational data...- publication PDF
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Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (PlioMIP3) â Science plan...
The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) was initiated in 2008. Over two phases PlioMIP has helped co-ordinate the experimental design and publication strategy of...- publication PDF
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Air pollution and associated human mortality: The role of air pollutant...
Increases in surface ozone (Oâ) and fine particulate matter (â¤2.5 μm aerodynamic diameter, PM2.5) are associated with excess premature human mortalities. We estimate...- publication PDF
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Surprising similarities in model and observational aerosol radiative forcing...
The radiative forcing from aerosols (particularly through their interaction with clouds) remains one of the most uncertain components of the human forcing of the climate....- publication PDF
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Modeling the inorganic bromine partitioning in the tropical tropopause layer...
The stratospheric inorganic bromine (Br-y)burden arising from the degradation of brominated very short-lived organic substances (VSLorg) and its partitioning between reactive...- publication PDF
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Cloud radiative feedbacks and El NiñoâSouthern Oscillation
Cloud radiative feedbacks are disabled via "cloud-locking" in the Community Earth System Model, version 1.2 (CESM1.2), to result in a shift in El Nino-Southern Oscillation...- publication PDF
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Deriving global OH abundance and atmospheric lifetimes for long-lived gases:...
An accurate estimate of global hydroxyl radical (OH) abundance is important for projections of air quality, climate, and stratospheric ozone recovery. As the atmospheric mixing...- publication PDF