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Medium-range ensemble sensitivity analysis of two extreme Pacific...
In this study, ensemble sensitivity analysis has been applied to examine the evolution of two extreme extratropical cyclones over the Pacific. Sensitivity using, as forecast...- publication PDF
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A review of uncertainties in global temperature projections over the...
Quantification of the uncertainties in future climate projections is crucial for the implementation of climate policies. Here a review of projections of global temperature...- publication PDF
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Increasing the skill of probabilistic forecasts: Understanding performance...
Four model-error schemes for probabilistic forecasts over the contiguous United States with the WRF-ARW mesoscale ensemble system are evaluated in regard to performance....- publication PDF
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Co-benefits of global and regional greenhouse gas mitigation for US air...
Policies to mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions will not only slow climate change but can also have ancillary benefits of improved air quality. Here we examine the co-...- publication PDF
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Calibration of antenna-radome and monument-multipath effect of GEONET--Part...
Phase maps for GSI/GEONET (Geographical Survey Institute/GPS Earth Observation NETwork) monuments and antennas obtained in Hatanaka et al. (2001) are evaluated by applying them...- publication PDF
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Allowances for evolving coastal flood risk under uncertain local sea-level rise
Estimates of future flood hazards made under the assumption of stationary mean sea level are biased low due to sea-level rise (SLR). However, adjustments to flood return levels...- publication PDF
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Tropospheric ozone assessment report: Tropospheric ozone from 1877 to 2016,...
From the earliest observations of ozone in the lower atmosphere in the 19th century, both measurement methods and the portion of the globe observed have evolved and changed....- publication PDF
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Continental Hydrologic Intercomparison Project, Phase 1: A large-scale...
High-resolution, coupled, process-based hydrology models, in which subsurface, land-surface, and energy budget processes are represented, have been applied at the basin-scale to...- publication PDF
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Multivariate quadrature for representing cloud condensation nuclei activity...
Atmospheric aerosol is composed of distinct multicomponent particles that are continuously modified as they are transported in the atmosphere. Resolving variability in particle...- publication PDF
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Description of the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM2)
This report presents the details of the governing equations, physical parameterizations, and numerical algorithms defining the version of the NCAR Community Climate Model...- publication PDF
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Evaluation of Arctic warming in mid-Pliocene climate simulations
Palaeoclimate simulations improve our understanding of the climate, inform us about the performance of climate models in a different climate scenario, and help to identify...- publication PDF
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Ensemble filter based estimation of spatially distributed parameters in a...
The ensemble adjustment Kalman filter (EAKF) is used to estimate the erodibility fraction parameter field in a coupled meteorology and dust aerosol model (Coupled...- publication PDF
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Changing effects of external forcing on Atlantic-Pacific interactions
Recent studies have highlighted the increasingly dominant role of external forcing in driving Atlantic and Pacific Ocean variability during the second half of the 20th century....- publication PDF
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Reversed two-cell convection in the Northern and Southern hemispheres during...
This article presents a case study of large-scale ionospheric convection in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres under strongly northward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF)...- publication PDF
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Periodic variations in solar wind and responses of the magnetosphere and...
TIMED/GUVI observed thermospheric column n-ary sumation O/N-2 depletion in both hemispheres between March 1 and 21, 2017 which was caused by large periodic variations in...- publication PDF
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N and P constrain C in ecosystems under climate change: Role of nutrient...
We use the Multiple Element Limitation (MEL) model to examine responses of 12 ecosystems to elevated carbon dioxide (CO2), warming, and 20% decreases or increases in...- publication PDF
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A high-end estimate of sea level rise for practitioners
Sea level rise (SLR) is a long-lasting consequence of climate change because global anthropogenic warming takes centuries to millennia to equilibrate for the deep ocean and ice...- publication PDF
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Modeling extreme precipitation over East China with a global...
The non-hydrostatic atmospheric Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS-A), a global variable-resolution modeling framework, is applied at a range of resolutions from...- publication PDF
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Development of a physically based sediment transport model for Green Bay,...
Green Bay is the largest freshwater estuarine system on earth, drains one-third of the Lake Michigan basin and delivers one-third of the lake's phosphorus load. Southern Green...- publication PDF
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Slowdown of the greening trend in natural vegetation with further rise in...
Satellite data reveal widespread changes in Earth's vegetation cover. Regions intensively attended to by humans are mostly greening due to land management. Natural vegetation,...- publication PDF